Clarity for decisions in a contested world.
PIVRA Global is an independent research and intelligence firm. We help investors, companies and public institutions understand political, economic and policy change, judge what it means for them, and act with confidence.
Politics now moves markets as often as markets move politics. Our work is to turn that noise into judgement you can act on, with the evidence shown and the uncertainty stated plainly.
One firm for research, intelligence and advice.
From a single urgent question to a standing intelligence programme, our capabilities combine so that analysis, expert insight and strategic advice arrive as one coherent view.
Geopolitical and political risk
Country and political risk assessment, election and transition analysis, sanctions and trade policy, and security risk for people and assets.
Learn more 02Policy research and analysis
Evidence-based research on regulation, public policy and institutional reform, from impact assessment to commissioned studies.
Learn more 03Strategic and market intelligence
Market entry intelligence, competitive and landscape analysis, and integrity due diligence on partners and counterparties.
Learn more 04Expert access
Direct access to vetted practitioners, former officials and industry specialists through calls, surveys and roundtables.
Learn more 05Scenarios and strategic advisory
Scenario planning, tabletop exercises and senior advisory that help leadership teams prepare for uncertain futures.
Learn more 06Monitoring and intelligence briefings
Continuous monitoring, tailored watchlists and scheduled briefings that keep you ahead of developments that affect your exposure.
Learn moreA disciplined method behind every judgement.
We apply structured analytic techniques drawn from professional intelligence practice, so that every conclusion can be traced to its evidence and tested against its alternatives.
Frame
We define the decision you face and translate it into precise intelligence questions, so research effort goes where it changes the answer.
Collect
We draw on open sources, proprietary datasets, field research and conversations with experts closest to events.
Assess
Evidence is graded, assumptions are tested and competing explanations are weighed before any judgement is made.
Advise
We state our judgement plainly, with a probability, a confidence level, the implications for you and the signposts to watch.
Every region, read through the lens of your exposure.
Our analysts follow political, economic and security developments across six regions and the themes that connect them.
Europe
EU policy and regulation, national politics, energy security and the continent's changing security posture.
Middle East and North Africa
Regional rivalries, energy markets, economic diversification and state stability.
Sub-Saharan Africa
Resource governance, sovereign debt, elections, security and the new competition for influence.
South and Central Asia
Fast-growing markets, regional connectivity, water and energy, and fragile security environments.
East Asia and the Pacific
Great power competition, technology controls, supply chains and maritime security.
The Americas
Trade and industrial policy, elections, commodities and regulatory shifts across North and Latin America.
Engagements shaped around the decision.
Clients work with us in four ways. Most combine them, beginning with a defined project and extending into ongoing monitoring.
Intelligence subscription
Standing coverage of the countries, themes and indicators that matter to you, with scheduled briefings and analyst access.
Commissioned research
A defined study with agreed questions, scope and deadline, from a two-week assessment to a multi-month research programme.
Advisory retainer
A dedicated senior analyst on call for leadership teams, with regular briefings and priority response.
Rapid response
Fast, focused assessment when events move quickly. First views typically within 24 to 72 hours.
Recent analysis.
Frameworks, briefings and perspectives from our research team.
Five questions every board should ask about political risk
Political risk is now a standing item on most board agendas, but the discussion is often too general to be useful. These five questions turn it into something a board can govern.
Read the analysisScenarios, not forecasts: planning for a fragmented world economy
When the structure of the global economy is itself in question, single-point forecasts become a liability. Scenario planning offers a more honest way to prepare.
Chokepoints: how to map concentration risk in global supply chains
Supply chain resilience starts with knowing where everything passes through a single point. A structured approach to finding the chokepoints that matter.
Bring us the question that matters most.
Tell us what you need to decide. We will respond within one business day with how we would approach it.
Start a conversation