Scenarios and strategic advisory
Prepare your organisation for futures that cannot be predicted but can be anticipated.
Forecasts fail when the world changes. Scenarios prepare you for the change itself. We help leadership teams think through plausible futures before they arrive.
We design and facilitate scenario exercises that identify the critical uncertainties facing your organisation, develop distinct and plausible futures, and test your strategy against each of them.
Our advisory work gives boards and executive teams direct access to senior analysts who can interpret events, challenge assumptions and support decisions as they are made.
Services
- Scenario developmentStructured scenarios built around the critical uncertainties that matter most to your strategy.
- Tabletop and crisis exercisesFacilitated simulations that test how your team would respond to specific political or security events.
- Board and executive briefingsRegular briefings for leadership on the global and regional outlook and its implications.
- Strategy stress testingIndependent challenge of your strategy and investment case against political and policy risks.
- Early warning frameworksIndicator sets that signal which scenario is unfolding, integrated into your planning cycle.
Typical client questions
A selection of the questions clients bring to this practice.
- How robust is our five-year strategy to a sharp deterioration in trade relations?
- What would we do in the first 72 hours if conflict disrupted a key supply route?
- Which geopolitical scenarios should our investment committee plan against?
- How should the board think about political risk in its annual risk review?
- What early indicators would tell us that our base case is failing?
Often combined with
Geopolitical and political risk
Country and political risk assessment, election and transition analysis, sanctions and trade policy, and security risk for people and assets.
Learn more RelatedMonitoring and intelligence briefings
Continuous monitoring, tailored watchlists and scheduled briefings that keep you ahead of developments that affect your exposure.
Learn moreDiscuss your requirements.
Tell us about the decision you face and we will propose a scope, timeline and team.
Contact our team